Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 52.693920 59.111836 65.790082 73.240187 81.301319 89.742746 99.232830
2024-10-20 42.004923 51.277969 61.515982 73.578554 87.320792 102.409152 120.145867
2024-10-27 34.729925 45.120673 57.094412 71.751351 89.043064 108.630471 132.325429
2024-11-03 31.636044 43.229606 57.054272 74.488568 95.612462 120.105709 150.365730
2024-11-10 28.627821 40.994366 56.209971 75.918057 100.364184 129.288741 165.672400
2024-11-17 25.511572 38.248992 54.403850 75.866864 103.080606 135.885568 177.831888
2024-11-24 24.027132 37.447254 54.904646 78.586673 109.151587 146.548674 194.989680
2024-12-01 21.668116 35.223486 53.343604 78.472736 111.511664 152.561431 206.442004
2024-12-08 19.306428 32.767724 51.265156 77.487172 112.596016 156.873112 215.734239
2024-12-15 17.562841 31.034510 50.023972 77.486690 114.862342 162.626900 226.839897
2024-12-22 16.016912 29.450379 48.862630 77.481072 117.038543 168.225186 237.762026
2024-12-29 15.530097 29.435965 49.912649 80.536705 123.354992 179.269884 255.811115
2025-01-05 14.445243 28.425615 49.491340 81.547373 126.987531 186.973820 269.830147
2025-01-12 13.341621 27.293581 48.818570 82.153106 130.059562 193.986784 283.073142
2025-01-19 11.720155 25.141018 46.444976 80.132637 129.335177 195.821243 289.428840
2025-01-26 11.396094 25.179653 47.447393 83.109280 135.705198 207.312392 308.747056
2025-02-02 10.784951 24.654955 47.516661 84.659064 140.039851 216.071804 324.505004
2025-02-09 9.895797 23.544337 46.571479 84.603682 142.019288 221.592552 335.940950
2025-02-16 9.661654 23.628119 47.569185 87.552459 148.416811 233.301034 355.895815
2025-02-23 8.874865 22.586074 46.632042 87.428974 150.262801 238.667831 367.245269
2025-03-02 7.993917 21.270106 45.147379 86.360644 150.642538 241.941549 375.723502
2025-03-09 7.363476 20.394103 44.361487 86.360121 152.591331 247.428742 387.291125
2025-03-16 6.783598 19.563188 43.600710 86.354031 154.503469 252.862614 398.821574